Last updated March 18, 2007 4:03 p.m. PT
DAYLIGHT-SAVING TIME
DST all year would save much more than energy
Given the early
arrival of daylight-saving time this year, it is an appropriate moment to
reflect upon the reasons for DST -- both the ones offered publicly and the
far more crucial ones omitted. Congress' rationale for extending DST was
that it would help save oil (it takes less energy to heat a house during
daylight). Notably, oil is an increasingly crucial resource as supplies
dwindle and as Middle East stability looks less certain.
However, a far more important benefit should be the one proffered: DST
saves hundreds of lives because darkness contributes to car accidents,
which in turn cause injury or death. An extra hour of daylight in the
evening will prevent many of those accidents and save lives. However, it
trades an extra hour of darkness in the morning, so the question is: Is
there a net benefit? When does darkness matter more, at night or in the
morning? Because more people are awake and moving about at 4-6 p.m. than
at 6-8 a.m., it is logical to believe that there will be a substantial
savings of lives and injuries by extending DST.
One group that might be negatively impacted is schoolchildren: They are
awake and active at 6-8 a.m. when they walk to school (and not as active
at 4-6 p.m. when most are home). To alleviate their concerns, schools
could start classes one hour later in winter so students would not have to
walk to school in darkness.
In addition, let us not forget that darkness contributes substantially
to crime -- and more criminals are active in the early evening than in the
early morning. Finally, there is good cause to recommend year-round DST
rather than switching every half year -- because the change itself
contributes to unnecessary accidents and confusion in the week
following.
Steve Calandrillo
Seattle
GLOBAL WARMING
It's a fact, but it's wrong to blame humans
Regarding the March
12 guest column ("First Person"), "It's expensive to ignore global
warming," few question that the climate is getting warmer. That is
measurable. It rose 0.7 degrees centigrade in the past century. The
sensationalist media, environmental groups and researchers after grants
from the latter have also convinced millions such as the guest columnist
that this is because of humanity and that far worse will come.
Others, including many of the world's top scientists, question whether
humanity materially influences warming. Among them is Claude Allegre,
arguably France's greatest scientist, a member of both the French and U.S.
Academies of Science. Twenty years ago, Allegre warned that mankind might
be causing global warming, but he has recanted.
Allegre says that computer models have failed dismally to predict
climate change and thus to establish a manmade cause for warming. Allegre
is contemptuous of those he calls the "greenhouse gas fanatics." He and
others attribute global warming primarily to cyclical changes in solar
radiation.
Although the columnist doesn't say so, his predictions are based on the
greenhouse gas theory. Anyone who assumes this is now the accepted theory
in science reveals ignorance of science.
Ed Davis
Issaquah
One study shows lowering of sea level
Bruce Barnbaum (March 12)
warns us that if we do nothing about global warming, the sea level will
rise by 20 feet. Apparently, Barnbaum missed the release last month of the
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change Summary for Policymakers, which
estimates a 15-inch rise in sea level this century. Although it is
possible that IPCC is wrong, there are at least some scientific studies
that back up the IPCC numbers. To the best of my knowledge, there are no
scientific studies that predict a 20-foot sea-level rise this century. In
fact, there is at least one peer-reviewed study (L. Zhen-Shan, S. Xian,
2006) that predicts global cooling in the next 20 years, with a
concomitant lowering of the sea level.
Barnbaum goes on to warn us that global warming is causing tropical
diseases such as Ebola virus, malaria and others to spread to more
temperate climates. Apparently, Barnbaum is unaware that malaria, cholera
and other diseases were endemic to large tracts of the U.S. before the
20th century. Clean drinking water, effective health care and the use of
DDT and other chemicals eliminated those diseases in the U.S. The fact
that those diseases are still endemic in Africa is due more to extreme
poverty and lack of health care.
Mark Parker
Snohomish